Source: full accepted-manuscript text including both results tables, not abstract only.

This is the definitive version of the planarity question. Cite this one.

Research theme

Why do sports biomechanists use flat 2D models at all, when the movement is obviously 3D? Because of strength measurement. A torque-driven model needs to know how strong the athlete actually is at every joint angle and every joint speed, and that can only be measured in vivo on an isovelocity dynamometer — which measures one axis at a time. Nobody has established a way to measure a subject-specific 3D maximum torque profile at the hip or shoulder about all three axes. So subject-specific optimisation of maximal-effort movements is, in practice, stuck in 2D. Given that, the question becomes: how much accuracy does the 2D simplification actually cost, and can it be bought back cheaply?

Method: three variants of a 16-segment planar angle-driven forward-dynamics model of the front foot contact phase of fast bowling (Autolev), customised to one elite bowler, each independently optimised and then each evaluated on an independent fourth trial.

What they measured

Participant: one member of the England and Wales Cricket Board elite fast bowling group — age 18, mass 85.0 kg, height 1.94 m. 18 MX13 Vicon cameras at 300 Hz, 7 × 3 × 3 m volume, Kistler force platform, 50 retro-reflective markers plus a reflective patch on the ball. 12 maximal-effort stock deliveries; the 4 best (greatest ball velocity, minimal marker loss) were processed.

Score components (1° treated as equivalent to 1%):

Model variants:

33 parameters (12 front-foot spring/damper, 6 wobbling-mass, 3 natural foot spring lengths, 12 trial-specific initial conditions) fitted by simulated annealing across three trials; evaluated on the fourth.

Findings

  1. Full results (Table 1), four trials combined, mean ± SD:

    ComponentPM (simple planar)HM (hips free)TM (hips + shoulders free)
    F1 force (%)18 ± 212 ± 111 ± 1
    F2 COM velocity (%)0.2 ± 0.20.2 ± 0.10.1 ± 0.1
    F3 trunk orientation (°)0.9 ± 0.31.2 ± 0.60.9 ± 0.1
    F4 ball velocity (%)3.8 ± 1.23.2 ± 2.61.5 ± 1.0
    F overall (%)8.9 ± 0.86.4 ± 0.75.7 ± 0.3
  2. Parameter-fitting vs held-out evaluation (the important robustness check): PM 9.1% fit / 8.2% evaluation; HM 6.6% / 5.7%; TM 5.8% / 5.3%. Every variant generalised to the unseen trial — the ranking is not an artefact of overfitting.

  3. Ball release velocity error falls monotonically with model complexity: 3.8% → 3.2% → 1.7% (abstract quotes the parameter-determination means 3.8/3.2/1.7; the four-trial combined column gives 3.8/3.2/1.5).

  4. Force: freeing the hips does the heavy lifting; freeing the shoulders helps horizontally only. Horizontal GRF: 11.4% (PM) → 10.5% (HM) → 8.6% (TM). Vertical GRF: 23.0% (PM) → 13.7% (HM) → 13.6% (TM). The authors state explicitly that the residual vertical force error is therefore not attributable to the shoulder assumption.

  5. Mechanism, force: in PM the limbs attach to averaged torso positions, pulling them closer to the trunk, misplacing the mass centre and shortening the moment arm to the centre of pressure. To reproduce the same impulse and match COM velocity and trunk orientation, PM must produce a different GRF — so it cannot match the recorded one. Diagnostic evidence: PM’s fitted vertical toe stiffness came out at 94,589 N/m, roughly 3× the TM value of 33,566 N/m — the optimiser driving the centre of pressure toward the toe to lengthen the moment arm and compensate. That is a model contorting itself around a bad assumption.

  6. Coefficients became more uniform across the three foot contact points as complexity increased — a sign of a better-conditioned model. No such pattern appeared in the wobbling-mass parameters.

  7. The warning that matters most: COM velocity was matched to ~0.1–0.2% by all three variants, including the bad one. In other words, a model can look perfect on the kinematic outcome you happen to be checking while being 18% wrong on force. The authors extend this: previous published models using coincident joint centres “may have also been unable to accurately match the ground reaction forces… This may result in a model producing peak forces which the human body would be unable to dissipate safely.”

  8. Conclusion: for maximal-effort movements with non-sagittal pelvis and torso rotation, use a planar model with non-coincident hip and shoulder joint centres — not a simple planar model, and not a full 3D model (which remains non-viable because subject-specific 3D strength parameters cannot be obtained).

Causal/methodological, established by controlled comparison. Not a claim about bowlers.

What this means for video and motion analysis

No direct coaching cue. For anyone trusting or building an analysis system:

Caveats and limits

Relationship to other Felton work